Archived Event

Why Library Futurists Can't Predict the Future, and How You Can

Date : Mar 30, 2005
Start Time : 11 a.m. Eastern
Length : 00:54:55

Supplemental Material

Library leaders have to be better than ever at predicting trends in order to stay relevant to the future of the people, institutions, and communities that libraries serve. But if you read the predictions of most so-called professional futurists over a period of decades, you will learn their failure rate is very high. What mistakes do they make, and how can you do better? Learn improved ways to collect data, question trends, and avoid falling in love with statistics that merely tell you what could be counted yesterday.

Pat Wagner ?President, Pattern Research

President of Pattern Research (, Pat Wagner is a nationally known library trainer and consultant who specializes in personnel, management, leadership and marketing issues.